Wednesday, July 19, 2006

NBA Draft "Never Heard of Him": Year 2

A few weeks back, I posted this year's "Never Heard of Him" poll results. Now that the draft is done, it's time to crunch numbers.

For each of our pollster's names, a 1 indicates that that person has heard of the player. A 0 means they have never heard of the player.
For the Round, -1 indicates the player later withdrew from the draft. 0 means they remained draft eligible but went undrafted. I included only players who went to American colleges, since I apparently did the same thing last year. I know the formatting sucks, but just bear with me please.

Player CollegeAndyDaveEllenHattonKankaKlondikeTaraTotalPickRoundOverall
Akbar Abdul-Ahad Idaho State000000000-10
Arron Afflalo UCLA110110040-10
LaMarcus Aldridge Texas11011015212
Morris Almond Rice000000000-10
Renaldo Balkman South Carolina1000000120120
Larry Blair Liberty000000000-10
Will Blalock Iowa State0100100230260
Jahsha Bluntt Delaware State000000000-10
Josh Boone Connecticut1111101623123
Ronnie Brewer Arkansas0100000114114
Bobby Brown Cal State-Fullerton000000000-10
Shannon Brown Michigan State0101001325125
Derek Burditt Blinn College (TX)00000000000
LeRoy Dawson Emporia State (KS)000000000-10
Travis DeGroot Delta State00000000000
Guillermo Diaz Miami (FL)0011000222252
Cem Dinc Indiana100110030-10
Quincy Douby Rutgers1111100519119
Mike Efevberha Cal-State Northridge01010002000
Carl Elliott George Washington000100010-10
Jordan Farmar UCLA1101101526126
Nick Fazekas Nevada110110040-10
Thomas Gardner Missouri11010104000
Rudy Gay Connecticut11111016818
Reggie George Robert Morris College (IL)000000000-10
Daniel Gibson Texas11001003000
Aaron Gray Pittsburgh110111160-10
LeShawn Hammett St. Francis (PA)00000000000
Brandon Heath San Diego State100000010-10
Tedric Hill Gulf Coast CC (FL)00000000000
Clarence Holloway IMG Academy (FL)000000000-10
Ekene Ibekwe Maryland110010030-10
Donald Jeffes Roxbury CC (MA)00000000000
Alexander Johnson Florida State0000000015245
David Johnson Clinton JC (SC)00000000000
Trey Johnson Jackson State000000110-10
Coby Karl Boise State000000000-10
Mark Konecny Lambuth University (TN)00000000000
Kyle Lowry Villanova1111101624124
Aleks Maric Nebraska000000000-10
Japhet McNeil East Carolina000000000-10
Paul Millsap Louisiana Tech0000000017247
Matt Mitchell Southern University-New Orleans00000000000
Adam Morrison Gonzaga11111117313
Patrick O'Bryant Bradley11010003919
Evan Patterson Texas Wesleyan000000000-10
Danilo (J.R.) Pinnock George Washington0000100128258
Leon Powe California00000000000
Richard Roby Colorado000000000-10
Rajon Rondo Kentucky0101101421121
Blake Schilb Loyola University (IL)000100010-10
Mustafa Shakur Arizona011111160-10
Cedric Simmons North Carolina State0100000115115
Marcus Slaughter San Diego State11000002000
Curtis Stinson Iowa State01101003000
Tyrus Thomas LSU01011014414
P.J. Tucker Texas110111165235
Jontae Vinson Cal State- Los Angeles000000000-10
Ian Vouyoukas St. Louis100100020-10
Darius Washington Jr. Memphis01000012000
Albert Weber Connors State000000000-10
Marcus Williams Connecticut1111101622122
Shawne Williams Memphis0111101517117

For those of you who like pretty pictures, here's the graphical evidence, including only those players who left school early.

This year's results break down thusly:
TypeTotal "Heard of Hims"PlayersAverage
Drafted (Combined)79223.590909091

Combined with last year's numbers, you get results like this:
TypeTotal "Heard of Hims"PlayersAverage
Drafted (Combined)124452.755555556

As you can see, the difference between being taken in the second round and not being taken at all is still slim. But some trends are beginning to form. If close to half of the people polled have heard of you, you should get drafted. If 60% or more have heard of you, you have a good chance at the first round.

Well, that's it for this year. Perhaps next year I can incorporate the following things:
  • Breaking down the first round into lottery/non-lottery picks.

  • Comparing Big East players to non-Big East players (since all people polled to date have been Notre Dame fans, and therefore more familiar with the Big East).

  • Include foreign players.

  • See what affect CBS's annual "Tournament Human Interest Story about a Guy With a Very Cool Name" has on name recognition.

By the way, I'd like to say hello to His Eminence Cardinal Tauran, Vatican Archivist and Librarian, who Googled himself and came across my "Who Will be the Next Pope?" column.