Monday, February 04, 2008

Initial Internal Monologue on the Johan Santana Trade

aka me arguing with myself:

Point: The Twins get 4 of the Mets' top 7 prospects.

Counterpoint: But even Baseball America said that that wasn't enough for Johan Santana.

Counter-counterpoint #1: Most sources are comparing the actual deal to the Yankees offer that included Philip Hughes, and the Red Sox offer that included Jon Lester and Jacoby Ellsbury. Hughes and Lester had been taken off the table, and some sources project Ellsbury to be only the next Dave Roberts.

Counter-counterpoint #2: The Twins have always had a good eye for prospects. Santana was a Rule 5 pick, and they got Francisco Liriano, Joe Nathan, and Boof Bonser in return for AJ Pierzynski.

Counter-counter-counterpoint (to #2): True, but the Pierzynski deal was Terry Ryan. Bill Smith is the new GM.

Counter-counter-counter-counterpoint: Smith was Ryan's "right-hand man." So I wouldn't count him out yet, but it's probably too early to tell.

Meanwhile, many pessimistic sources see the Yankees and Red Sox missing out on Santana, and believe that the two teams will use that money to outbid the Indians for CC Sabathia. That and more Indians news (hopefully) later this week.